CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe08eac975ecba143ea8c7d31a3924134db036c7c53d2e0b73bfcbb805ce28285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omegaof Omega, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Omega | 79c | 870$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.44 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lavked | 7c | 299$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lavked | 8c | 228.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lavked | 30c | 221.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Omega | 58c | 204.25$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 10c | 174.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Omega | 59c | 167$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Omega | 63c | 147.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lavked | 14c | 118.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lavked | 33c | 112.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Omega | 64c | 107.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lavked | 43c | 97.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lavked | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Lavked | 37c | 84.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lavked | 42c | 71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lavked | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed Lavked | 40c | 66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Omega | 58c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Omega | 57c | 59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Lavked | 31c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Lavked | 51c | 48.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Omega | 59c | 43.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Omega | 43c | 24.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Lavked | 68c | 21.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Omega | 74c | 16.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group StageLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
- Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs Omega (+1.5)Omega won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.