Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0b06c8833478694e35976582ee686ad009b885d34840d4bdeff6abfea671f2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 17c | 17,647$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,647 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…a62bbacked Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 61c | 818.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Under | 15c | 798.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.08 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 692.82$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.45 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 652.6$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 17c | 612.58$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.74 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 24c | 340.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 16c | 309.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.96 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 39c | 251.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 51c | 250$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…7e1ebacked Over | 71c | 183.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 54c | 138.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…98efbacked Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 61c | 70.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 58c | 51.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 34c | 43.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente '65 vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Twente '65 vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Twente '65 vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.