Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e62884df290fdfdae8a0965963c89f635d1d56b8c9ca811f50ef5949503129a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 64c | 58,601$37,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,503.16 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 36c | 32,500$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,800 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 7,939$3,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,257.02 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 35c | 6,191$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,021.16 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 5,922$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 67c | 2,240$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 4c | 999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 36c | 910$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.4 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 37c | 595.82$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.86 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 36c | 320$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 36c | 300.92$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.59 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Under | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 51c | 240$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 36c | 216.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 212.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.45 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 36c | 168$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 36c | 168$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 36c | 120$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 36c | 118.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 36c | 112$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 30c | 106$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 36c | 92.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 63c | 79.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 36c | 76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 36c | 73.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 36c | 72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Under | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 36c | 68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 36c | 68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 36c | 68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Under | 36c | 59.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 36c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 36c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 36c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 36c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 36c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 36c | 44.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 36c | 43.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 35c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 34c | 34.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 36c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 36c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 52c | 23.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente '65 vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Twente '65 vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Twente '65 vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.