CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0b697b2dcb337a4362a5efbb6ac2227af8fb7c68f7c275a91bbac3673764b97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof Subtop De France, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Subtop De France | 29c | 339.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 147 | 49.7%73 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Subtop De France | 55c | 247.43$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Donstu Esports | 58c | 226.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Donstu Esports | 62c | 161.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…2ebabacked Donstu Esports | 53c | 109.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Subtop De France | 13c | 98.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Donstu Esports | 50c | 93.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…cc42backed Subtop De France | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Donstu Esports | 58c | 84.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Donstu Esports | 51c | 82.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Donstu Esports | 43c | 78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Subtop De France | 16c | 62.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Subtop De France | 52c | 59.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Subtop De France | 44c | 57.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Subtop De France | 44c | 56.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Subtop De France | 54c | 55.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Donstu Esports | 76c | 55.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Subtop De France | 51c | 48.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Donstu Esports | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed Donstu Esports | 37c | 40.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 143 | 22.4%32 W · 111 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Subtop De France | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Subtop De France | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Donstu Esports | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Subtop De France | 35c | 29.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Subtop De France | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Subtop De France | 40c | 25.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Donstu Esports | 59c | 22.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Donstu Esports | 58c | 22.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Donstu Esports | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Subtop De France | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsDonstu Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 WinnerDonstu Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.