CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33ac16d8932f8f820f42f61179718af57f9ea596d8c683707e5409a0c44f97fc

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Donstu Esportsof Subtop De France, Donstu Esports
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $11,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $12,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,864 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x653e…bbc0backed Subtop De France	24c	594$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.56	387	39.5%153 W · 234 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd85…1d60backed Subtop De France	35c	587.9$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.55	201	47.3%95 W · 106 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Subtop De France	16c	552.83$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.53	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0af3…8598backed Subtop De France	20c	458.81$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	147	49.7%73 W · 74 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4994…3e36backed Subtop De France	28c	449.43$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.84	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Donstu Esports	65c	412.21$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.23	153	49.7%76 W · 77 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x669d…88e5backed Subtop De France	29c	383.86$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.32	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked Subtop De France	20c	380$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	351	31.1%109 W · 242 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Subtop De France	15c	363.42$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.45	1,078	32%345 W · 733 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed Donstu Esports	76c	358.57$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.06	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Subtop De France	28c	357.74$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.64	773	51.2%396 W · 377 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Subtop De France	24c	340$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.6	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Donstu Esports	72c	313.33$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.33	1,620	52.7%853 W · 767 L	+57.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Subtop De France	22c	296.27$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	635	41.9%266 W · 369 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292b…23cebacked Subtop De France	29c	290$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.7	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Subtop De France	19c	276.11$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.86	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Donstu Esports	70c	261.01$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.01	220	44.5%98 W · 122 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Donstu Esports	76c	250.43$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.1	279	40.5%113 W · 166 L	-16.0wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Donstu Esports	77c	240.37$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.16	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Donstu Esports	77c	217.32$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.97	137	51.8%71 W · 66 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Subtop De France	19c	216.45$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.23	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Subtop De France	19c	214.97$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.18	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Subtop De France	18c	210$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.4	1,302	41.2%536 W · 766 L	-50.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports	77c	204.99$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.13	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Subtop De France	18c	198.24$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	150	47.3%71 W · 79 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Subtop De France	18c	184$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.72	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Donstu Esports	73c	176.61$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.2	359	47.9%172 W · 187 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed Subtop De France	29c	173.48$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.76	136	55.9%76 W · 60 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked Donstu Esports	71c	169.74$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.22	316	47.8%151 W · 165 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3601…ac81backed Donstu Esports	65c	168$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.8	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3995…47edbacked Donstu Esports	73c	166.57$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.17	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…4893backed Donstu Esports	72c	152.77$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.36	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Donstu Esports	72c	149.21$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.2	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Subtop De France	19c	133$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.73	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Subtop De France	16c	124.68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	630	38.6%243 W · 387 L	-26.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Subtop De France	19c	119$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.02	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb3…6bfebacked Donstu Esports	71c	118.48$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.36	75	40%30 W · 45 L	-6.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda89…6a2dbacked Donstu Esports	73c	102.81$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.52	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked Subtop De France	27c	99.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	206	37.9%78 W · 128 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Donstu Esports	75c	97.49$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.61	130	60.8%79 W · 51 L	+8.6wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Subtop De France	31c	95.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	186	47.3%88 W · 98 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9107…75e0backed Subtop De France	23c	85.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.78	69	24.6%17 W · 52 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Subtop De France	17c	82.79$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Subtop De France	28c	78.21$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.73	1,848	47.6%879 W · 969 L	-55.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d12…caf8backed Subtop De France	14c	71.79$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Subtop De France	34c	67.96$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.11	470	54%254 W · 216 L	+12.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf21…667bbacked Subtop De France	20c	67.6$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.79	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Subtop De France	18c	61.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Donstu Esports	77c	56.06$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.89	1,352	52%703 W · 649 L	+29.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58cc…6415backed Donstu Esports	73c	53.18$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.13	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Subtop De France	27c	48.08$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.91	491	49.9%245 W · 246 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Donstu Esports	78c	43.99$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.59	187	53.5%100 W · 87 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f40…6167backed Donstu Esports	68c	43.01$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.73	81	50.6%41 W · 40 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Subtop De France	28c	43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.01	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Donstu Esports	69c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.3	170	41.2%70 W · 100 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x427a…4e18backed Donstu Esports	65c	22.31$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.81	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Donstu Esports	67c	20.94$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.88	512	52.1%267 W · 245 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Donstu Esports	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	131	48.1%63 W · 68 L	-9.6wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Donstu Esports	77c	16.63$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.83	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe24f…614abacked Donstu Esports	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed Donstu Esports	70c	15.11$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.53	413	72.2%298 W · 115 L	+25.0wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b86…5552backed Donstu Esports	76c	14.46$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.47	163	63.2%103 W · 60 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9d…de16backed Donstu Esports	75c	13.35$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.34	140	60%84 W · 56 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 WinnerDonstu Esports won
Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerDonstu Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event