CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x287859afa7e3d4bdf6e3e230e95fe5553ab6e445940f7f7fef30ecdcb735d70d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof Subtop De France, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Subtop De France | 33c | 1,013$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.66 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Subtop De France | 24c | 411.7$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed Subtop De France | 49c | 399.13$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Subtop De France | 35c | 287.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Donstu Esports | 73c | 181.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Donstu Esports | 66c | 170.64$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Donstu Esports | 72c | 152.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Donstu Esports | 74c | 137.43$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Subtop De France | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Donstu Esports | 67c | 117.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Donstu Esports | 66c | 117.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…304fbacked Donstu Esports | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Donstu Esports | 76c | 86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked Donstu Esports | 69c | 74.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Donstu Esports | 71c | 67.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Donstu Esports | 79c | 67.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Donstu Esports | 70c | 66.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Subtop De France | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Donstu Esports | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Donstu Esports | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Donstu Esports | 78c | 35.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Donstu Esports | 76c | 31.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Donstu Esports | 67c | 21.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Donstu Esports | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Donstu Esports | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Donstu Esports | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Donstu Esports | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsDonstu Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerDonstu Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.