CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Aurora Young Blood - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0c79edc624841385619e9baba38a6638a78bdac7ccdfd4c0a4fbb5e67a3ba6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Young Bloodof BET-M 33, Aurora Young Blood
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Young Blood | 34c | 2,378$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.31 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Aurora Young Blood | 42c | 2,369$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.93 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked BET-M 33 | 15c | 1,228$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.92 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed BET-M 33 | 68c | 977.98$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.25 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Aurora Young Blood | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed BET-M 33 | 59c | 684.97$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.53 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Young Blood | 52c | 633.69$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.47 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…3799backed BET-M 33 | 66c | 551.67$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.51 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked BET-M 33 | 52c | 500$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Aurora Young Blood | 75c | 320$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BET-M 33 | 67c | 247.52$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.15 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked BET-M 33 | 79c | 213.11$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed BET-M 33 | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked BET-M 33 | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked BET-M 33 | 70c | 154.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked BET-M 33 | 9c | 150.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 110 | 2.7%3 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked BET-M 33 | 31c | 135.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed BET-M 33 | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked Aurora Young Blood | 27c | 120.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BET-M 33 | 50c | 119$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Aurora Young Blood | 66c | 102.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…41a6backed Aurora Young Blood | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…0c6ebacked BET-M 33 | 51c | 87.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked BET-M 33 | 46c | 71.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked BET-M 33 | 75c | 66.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed BET-M 33 | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked BET-M 33 | 47c | 28.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x376a…78a7backed BET-M 33 | 70c | 28.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked BET-M 33 | 65c | 27.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked BET-M 33 | 55c | 27.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Aurora Young Blood - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group BAurora Young Blood won
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Aurora Young Blood - Map 1 WinnerAurora Young Blood won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.