Tennis · resolved market
Svitolina vs. Pegula: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0dfb923137e710fc95f69474b3ccb9551e540cf78c183a98ae5a32925bb5e5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 50c | 5,295$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.31 | 576 | 49.5%285 W · 291 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 38c | 4,287$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.16 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 50c | 3,970$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.81 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 38c | 507.03$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.67 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Under | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Over | 51c | 365.5$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 49c | 250$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 249.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.48 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 38c | 220.34$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…9f0abacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…4947backed Over | 51c | 103$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83aa…dcbebacked Under | 50c | 103$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 277 | 55.6%154 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Over | 38c | 38.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Svitolina vs. Pegula: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica PegulaPegula won
- Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs PegulaPegula won
- Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)Pegula won
- Svitolina vs. Pegula: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Svitolina vs. Pegula: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Svitolina vs. Pegula: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.