Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Aleksa Pisaric vs Walid Ahouda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe147a95cda6a57492fd84d0f72ca1325c45d721e42a027504d19d51e0b346520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walid Ahoudaof Aleksa Pisaric, Walid Ahouda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aleksa Pisaric | 20c | 1,216$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.81 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aleksa Pisaric | 13c | 1,051$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.24 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Walid Ahouda | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Walid Ahouda | 79c | 379$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Walid Ahouda | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Walid Ahouda | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 313 | 55.3%173 W · 140 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Aleksa Pisaric | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Aleksa Pisaric | 13c | 112.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 618 | 55.8%345 W · 273 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Walid Ahouda | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Walid Ahouda | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Walid Ahouda | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Walid Ahouda | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 316 | 57.3%181 W · 135 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Walid Ahouda | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Walid Ahouda | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Walid Ahouda | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Walid Ahouda | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Walid Ahouda | 77c | 16.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…fa13backed Walid Ahouda | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.