MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1a9809585c0a0a91040eb9572a8170acba8a91fe983f98fa8887cea6270bc0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 23c | 30,639$7,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,175.41 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Diamondbacks | 11c | 26,145$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Astros | 70c | 25,129$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,629.14 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 62c | 20,467$12,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,848.08 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 19,000$7,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,207.78 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Astros | 60c | 13,498$8,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,347.26 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 10,714$4,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,356.37 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Diamondbacks | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 9,040$5,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,152.79 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Astros | 61c | 7,944$4,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.55 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 6,313$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,535.03 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 5,683$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.74 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Astros | 44c | 5,320$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.63 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 5,300$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 32c | 5,166$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.22 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 4,049$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.42 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 3,485$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Astros | 43c | 3,100$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Astros | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Astros | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 2,750$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.28 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Astros | 43c | 2,661$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.69 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 2,542$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.52 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Astros | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 2,490$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.39 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 2,356$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.48 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Astros | 44c | 2,100$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9ed3backed Astros | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…2d38backed Astros | 43c | 1,920$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4d…9871backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 1,920$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…6cf8backed Astros | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Astros | 42c | 1,883$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.17 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Astros | 64c | 1,842$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.24 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.18 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 43c | 1,804$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.42 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 32c | 1,559$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.74 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Astros | 63c | 1,512$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.75 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8150backed Astros | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,493$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f3…f4fabacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Astros | 37c | 1,310$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.31 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Astros | 43c | 1,263$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.79 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Astros | 73c | 1,217$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.74 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…04c1backed Astros | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…8429backed Astros | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 75c | 1,111$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.39 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Astros | 43c | 1,095$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.35 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0d…a5dabacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed00…f47abacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 1,047$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Astros | 64c | 1,031$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.07 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…397ebacked Astros | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Astros | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…f43abacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 988$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…cf80backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 954$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Astros | 42c | 924.19$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.03 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4976…bea2backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 912$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…c03dbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 900$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…d5dfbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 804$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…1f64backed Astros | 43c | 803.99$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…a6c9backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…8e5ebacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Diamondbacks | 35c | 738.1$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…de50backed Astros | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…02edbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 42c | 695.46$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.37 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Astros | 57c | 677.26$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.25 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 650$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Diamondbacks | 3c | 596.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Astros | 43c | 579$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.03 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Astros | 43c | 533.92$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.33 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…d42cbacked Astros | 44c | 529.55$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Astros | 43c | 525$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.25 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks | 4c | 517.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Astros | 30c | 501.87$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.29 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 467.29$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.36 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Astros | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Astros | 63c | 454.36$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.11 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe572…f0bbbacked Astros | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Astros | 65c | 440.48$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.17 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 411.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.83 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…e434backed Diamondbacks | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Astros | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Astros | 62c | 331.35$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.35 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Astros | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 301$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.57 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Astros | 43c | 297.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.66 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Astros | 43c | 291$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.87 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Diamondbacks | 6c | 290.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Astros | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…8f31backed Astros | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 73c | 270.49$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 266.7$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.69 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…ede5backed Astros | 65c | 262.39$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 42c | 238.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 236.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 43c | 234$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.