CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs eternal premium - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1ed5f153a7ac6f8a6b2937ce17165852da49c44f88720a7fd90dcb446209310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Atreides, eternal premium
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed eternal premium | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Atreides | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 78c | 240.93$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Atreides | 65c | 235$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed eternal premium | 26c | 230.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…e948backed eternal premium | 22c | 196.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Atreides | 77c | 177.38$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked eternal premium | 26c | 160.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked eternal premium | 26c | 139$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked eternal premium | 30c | 128.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 76c | 107.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…8cafbacked eternal premium | 21c | 96.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Atreides | 65c | 95.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed eternal premium | 17c | 88.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed eternal premium | 35c | 86.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…a5ffbacked eternal premium | 41c | 85.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed eternal premium | 28c | 84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed eternal premium | 28c | 81.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed eternal premium | 21c | 79.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked eternal premium | 30c | 73.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Atreides | 60c | 72.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked eternal premium | 37c | 68.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed eternal premium | 24c | 63.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed eternal premium | 24c | 58.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Atreides | 72c | 57.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Atreides | 56c | 56.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Atreides | 51c | 54.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…142dbacked Atreides | 63c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Atreides | 61c | 48.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Atreides | 68c | 47.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Atreides | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked eternal premium | 32c | 32.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Atreides | 79c | 27.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Atreides | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Atreides | 78c | 16.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs eternal premium - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group CAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs eternal premium - Map 2 WinnerAtreides won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: Atreides (-1.5) vs eternal premium (+1.5)Atreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.