Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1fdc343561d12dd08d9444b3e5a1a8dd1c11e57ac62c0ac9dd349b6d119edee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Yandex | 72c | 4,810$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.44 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Power Rangers | 28c | 3,969$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.47 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Yandex | 79c | 1,033$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.4 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Power Rangers | 23c | 789$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Power Rangers | 18c | 612.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Team Yandex | 76c | 533.36$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.02 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a37…c99cbacked Power Rangers | 7c | 509.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Yandex | 75c | 506.87$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.86 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Power Rangers | 20c | 404.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Power Rangers | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Power Rangers | 29c | 347.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Power Rangers | 25c | 199.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Power Rangers | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Yandex | 75c | 170.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Power Rangers | 7c | 158.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Power Rangers | 17c | 108.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Power Rangers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Power Rangers | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 69.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Team Yandex | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Power Rangers (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.