Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Viktoriya Tomova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe235ac123c638c38a4b42a8f06a218804bc318f0458ba4fff6b051fcc5ab629a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tormoof Tormo, Tomova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tormo | 63c | 4,327$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.11 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Tomova | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Tormo | 67c | 1,794$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.42 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Tormo | 36c | 1,714$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.12 | 770 | 46.9%361 W · 409 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Tomova | 41c | 1,696$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.74 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Tomova | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…7ca0backed Tomova | 38c | 1,218$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Tomova | 17c | 1,166$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Tormo | 41c | 1,000$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.1 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tomova | 60c | 496$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.73 | 6,550 | 54.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L | +287.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Tomova | 23c | 451.92$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…e43bbacked Tomova | 31c | 318.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tomova | 22c | 307.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tomova | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Tormo | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tomova | 28c | 247.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Tomova | 64c | 240$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Tomova | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Tormo | 73c | 162$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Tomova | 25c | 152.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 6,867 | 48.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L | +61.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Tormo | 80c | 149$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tomova | 59c | 141$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tormo | 69c | 126.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tormo | 74c | 123.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945d…7348backed Tormo | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…203bbacked Tormo | 76c | 79.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…121fbacked Tormo | 79c | 74.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…b0c4backed Tormo | 68c | 73.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tormo | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 1,927 | 55.4%1,068 W · 859 L | -43.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tormo | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Tormo | 79c | 48.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Tormo | 70c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Tormo | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5130…d4bcbacked Tormo | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Tomova | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Tormo | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…3d9ebacked Tormo | 80c | 23.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Tormo | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Tomova | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tormo | 68c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.