Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: AlQadsiah Esports vs Fraggerz (BO3) - VCL MENA: Resilience Kickoff Playoffs - ME
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2a8b0091f54c2108d5afca27f914a9db719c1abafc0bdcf2748dbabf090fd69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fraggerzof AlQadsiah Esports, Fraggerz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,374 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed AlQadsiah Esports | 79c | 2,413$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.97 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e6…911dbacked Fraggerz | 17c | 1,423$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…b1fbbacked Fraggerz | 16c | 1,118$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e85…7085backed Fraggerz | 17c | 1,036$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x867c…0578backed Fraggerz | 19c | 1,006$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfded…b08abacked Fraggerz | 19c | 1,002$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3b…bea0backed Fraggerz | 19c | 993$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…8229backed Fraggerz | 17c | 985$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Fraggerz | 14c | 884.34$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.54 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…d55dbacked Fraggerz | 17c | 844$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e67…8c5dbacked Fraggerz | 15c | 740$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +230.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Fraggerz | 13c | 707.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Fraggerz | 31c | 674.21$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.55 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…40ebbacked Fraggerz | 16c | 635.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…51e7backed Fraggerz | 15c | 570$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +227.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked Fraggerz | 15c | 563.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.7 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…faf2backed Fraggerz | 19c | 550$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e3…94b7backed Fraggerz | 19c | 540$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…c460backed Fraggerz | 19c | 540$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Fraggerz | 79c | 400$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Fraggerz | 13c | 315.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Fraggerz | 8c | 225$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +210.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Fraggerz | 43c | 222.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.85 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fraggerz | 33c | 190.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.21 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…1afdbacked Fraggerz | 42c | 143.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35bf…97babacked Fraggerz | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +168.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Fraggerz | 40c | 108.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fc…1e88backed AlQadsiah Esports | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Fraggerz | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed AlQadsiah Esports | 76c | 78.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Fraggerz | 36c | 75.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…4df2backed AlQadsiah Esports | 54c | 75.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Fraggerz | 16c | 73.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Fraggerz | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed AlQadsiah Esports | 64c | 31.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: AlQadsiah Esports vs Fraggerz (BO3) - VCL MENA: Resilience Kickoff Playoffs - MEthis page
- Valorant: AlQadsiah Esports vs Fraggerz - Map 1 WinnerFraggerz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.