Other European Leagues · resolved market
Samsunspor vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2cbc73dd0a68d240aad59e25d71be0e5e3d31ba2715a18b343eee0945f7e0a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,609 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 4,401$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.78 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 39c | 2,644$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.44 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 52c | 2,437$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 53c | 1,325$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 1,125$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.56 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 1,021$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.91 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.04 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…8e34backed Under | 16c | 700$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…5f66backed Under | 16c | 699.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 670.48$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.52 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 651.04$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.03 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 636.97$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.66 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 50c | 427$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 16c | 349.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 68c | 324.63$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.75 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 42c | 309.52$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 40c | 253.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 16c | 235$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 10cpaid | +155.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 61c | 191$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 46c | 143.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 43c | 115.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 40c | 101.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 47c | 100.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 86.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 53c | 67.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 32c | 66.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 62c | 64.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 49c | 64.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 53c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 59c | 56.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 51c | 44.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 53c | 41.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…407dbacked Over | 48c | 32.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 60c | 31.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Over | 42c | 31.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 41c | 30.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 46c | 29.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…aaffbacked Under | 52c | 28.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 51c | 27.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413e…cdcbbacked Over | 48c | 24.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 69c | 23.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…6ff6backed Under | 53c | 21.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6146…e07dbacked Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Samsunspor vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5this page
- Samsunspor vs. Kayserispor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Samsunspor vs. Kayserispor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Kayserispor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Samsunspor vs. Kayserispor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5)Kayserispor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.