Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs hAze clan - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2d8271817cea8285227f6a20a8a7c5b14135d7a9904c10506a5fd4112905321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, hAze clan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked 1win | 67c | 4,500$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.99 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed hAze clan | 32c | 2,361$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.97 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked hAze clan | 29c | 1,280$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.92 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed hAze clan | 33c | 970.22$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.17 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…ad1dbacked hAze clan | 33c | 480.3$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed 1win | 72c | 429.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…8917backed 1win | 78c | 420$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed hAze clan | 32c | 310.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed 1win | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…c2a1backed 1win | 76c | 136$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed 1win | 69c | 110$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed hAze clan | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed hAze clan | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7eebbacked hAze clan | 32c | 61.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked hAze clan | 33c | 51.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked hAze clan | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed 1win | 65c | 46.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked 1win | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked 1win | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed 1win | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…0220backed hAze clan | 42c | 28.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs hAze clan - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs hAze clan (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs1win won
- Dota 2: 1win vs hAze clan - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs hAze clan (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.