Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2f6a180957cd6e89000f2e3f680a8e48944c38007c3bdc26fce7bb10507826b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 1c | 9,498$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 15c | 8,008$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.27 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 1c | 1,666$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 15c | 1,600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 1,580$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 15c | 1,320$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 15c | 764$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed Yes | 15c | 670$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 4c | 603.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…68ddbacked Yes | 15c | 383.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 7c | 270$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…d636backed Yes | 15c | 193.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 14c | 173.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 9c | 145.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7e07backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…e11fbacked Yes | 17c | 115.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 15c | 102.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 16c | 102.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ca…f810backed Yes | 15c | 86.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 15c | 77.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 15c | 73.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…b9debacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.