Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67452a970ea113ad008a7f0810c3259e3b851c2aae3767bbe66efed2714e6205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 7c | 18,005$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.62 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 8c | 13,077$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.48 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 7c | 12,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 7c | 8,906$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.46 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 8c | 8,463$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.63 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 9c | 8,353$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.76 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked Yes | 7c | 6,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…4016backed Yes | 1c | 5,854$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 8c | 4,074$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.71 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 3,394$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.1 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 7c | 2,422$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.55 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.38 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb40…c661backed Yes | 9c | 1,149$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,067$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…3e26backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 824.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 9c | 678.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 8c | 489.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 8c | 347$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3628…c986backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6309…1f50backed Yes | 4c | 275$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 4c | 271.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…d636backed Yes | 8c | 237.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 8c | 236.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 8c | 180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fe…627fbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 10c | 133.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -61%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 8c | 128.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 9c | 122.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd0…30b4backed Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…3d6abacked Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…541cbacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.