Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luque: Camila Romero vs Luciana Moyano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe328f3a0e11e4fc9c3485d76651ca20822cc0b5c7ca6ac150bcf1eb0749b6bae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luciana Moyanoof Camila Romero, Luciana Moyano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Camila Romero | 31c | 1,897$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.58 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Luciana Moyano | 60c | 1,747$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.81 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Luciana Moyano | 72c | 1,166$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.38 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Camila Romero | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Luciana Moyano | 45c | 536.51$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.83 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Camila Romero | 33c | 476.68$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Luciana Moyano | 62c | 469.48$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.87 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Luciana Moyano | 66c | 436.77$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.57 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Camila Romero | 35c | 397$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.96 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luciana Moyano | 68c | 360.91$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Camila Romero | 28c | 280.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Camila Romero | 28c | 273.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Luciana Moyano | 52c | 264.79$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Luciana Moyano | 52c | 260$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.7 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Luciana Moyano | 51c | 250$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Luciana Moyano | 69c | 248.31$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Camila Romero | 34c | 242.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Luciana Moyano | 70c | 148.41$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Camila Romero | 49c | 131.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Camila Romero | 32c | 126.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Camila Romero | 32c | 89.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Camila Romero | 32c | 62.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Camila Romero | 31c | 55.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Camila Romero | 39c | 48.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Luciana Moyano | 60c | 34.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Camila Romero | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luciana Moyano | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Luciana Moyano | 70c | 26.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Luciana Moyano | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Camila Romero | 70c | 20.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.