College Football · resolved market
Iowa State vs. Oklahoma State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe336192e9ab5314804ae847ad4b10eb1e0660a7cba9a28381146644062345323
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa Stateof Iowa State, Oklahoma State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Oklahoma State | 16c | 55,593$8,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,678.23 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oklahoma State | 14c | 31,606$4,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,542.51 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oklahoma State | 15c | 15,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma State | 14c | 7,595$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oklahoma State | 13c | 6,685$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.75 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Oklahoma State | 14c | 5,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Oklahoma State | 16c | 4,733$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.36 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Oklahoma State | 14c | 4,706$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.48 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Oklahoma State | 14c | 3,400$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Oklahoma State | 16c | 3,333$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.27 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oklahoma State | 15c | 3,059$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.79 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Oklahoma State | 9c | 2,821$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.71 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Oklahoma State | 16c | 2,609$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.94 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oklahoma State | 9c | 1,981$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.22 | 649 | 43.6%283 W · 366 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Oklahoma State | 16c | 1,852$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.36 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…cd30backed Oklahoma State | 16c | 1,823$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Oklahoma State | 17c | 1,800$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Oklahoma State | 16c | 1,765$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.86 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Oklahoma State | 17c | 1,756$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.77 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Oklahoma State | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oklahoma State | 7c | 1,265$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 244 | 39.8%97 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Oklahoma State | 16c | 1,258$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Oklahoma State | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.93 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Oklahoma State | 16c | 1,193$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.88 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Oklahoma State | 17c | 1,133$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Oklahoma State | 16c | 1,111$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.75 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Oklahoma State | 15c | 809.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Oklahoma State | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Oklahoma State | 16c | 680.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Oklahoma State | 16c | 642.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.87 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ea2dbacked Oklahoma State | 15c | 599.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…9719backed Oklahoma State | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Oklahoma State | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oklahoma State | 16c | 452.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Oklahoma State | 10c | 442.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb800…e43abacked Oklahoma State | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oklahoma State | 16c | 394.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a78…30b6backed Oklahoma State | 16c | 350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Oklahoma State | 16c | 350$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Oklahoma State | 17c | 302.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Oklahoma State | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Oklahoma State | 16c | 261.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb493…542ebacked Oklahoma State | 17c | 255.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Oklahoma State | 17c | 251$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…439bbacked Oklahoma State | 17c | 247.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Oklahoma State | 12c | 227.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2631…a494backed Oklahoma State | 17c | 211.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Oklahoma State | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Oklahoma State | 16c | 173.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Oklahoma State | 10c | 159.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Oklahoma State | 10c | 155$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Oklahoma State | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked Oklahoma State | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Oklahoma State | 10c | 122.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Oklahoma State | 17c | 118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 246 | 37%91 W · 155 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…10acbacked Oklahoma State | 10c | 114.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed Oklahoma State | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Oklahoma State | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Oklahoma State | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Oklahoma State | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Oklahoma State | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 300 | 51%153 W · 147 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Oklahoma State | 17c | 74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Oklahoma State | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa State vs. Oklahoma Statethis page
- Iowa State vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 46.5Under won
- Iowa State vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa State (-13.5)Oklahoma State won
- Spread: Iowa State (-14.5)Oklahoma State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.