Tennis · resolved market
ITF Villa Constitucion: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Aditya Vishal Balsekar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3557fe04f1f1e28062687663c1cfed51418495f7f573e4dda406f5690c21de7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguezof Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, Aditya Vishal Balsekar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 32c | 8,413$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 59c | 4,428$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.41 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 62c | 2,475$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 26c | 386.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 65c | 358.84$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 61c | 330.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.09 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 6c | 188.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 31c | 181.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 59c | 147.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 34c | 143.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 61c | 85.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 59c | 70.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…fd61backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 63c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 60c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 35c | 39.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Aditya Vishal Balsekar | 44c | 24.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…88dfbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 64c | 18.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.