CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3599d2298ee4a6d37b9c037fd45ec0c957bc11a984f4071c5e44d7aeea22143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TNCof Betclic Apogee Esports, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed TNC | 55c | 5,604$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.8 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TNC | 10c | 2,185$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.29 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 41c | 963.87$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked TNC | 52c | 826.48$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.48 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 50c | 700.28$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 38c | 680.15$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.4 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec8…e91abacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 46c | 650$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.56 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 47c | 634.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 41c | 607.18$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.68 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 53c | 525.75$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.09 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed TNC | 60c | 409.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.4 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed TNC | 50c | 377.9$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.95 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 48c | 311$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 46c | 284.78$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 48c | 250$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.32 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…7a4cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 52c | 238.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 44c | 230.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 43c | 206.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 47c | 199.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed TNC | 64c | 170$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…f0ddbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 52c | 144.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 46c | 143.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed TNC | 53c | 117.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 50c | 116.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 71c | 106$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked TNC | 60c | 71.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed TNC | 58c | 66.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked TNC | 22c | 64.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TNC | 27c | 47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked TNC | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked TNC | 61c | 37.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 40c | 33.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 39c | 29.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed TNC | 54c | 25.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…a298backed TNC | 59c | 25.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked TNC | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 PlayoffsTNC won
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC - Map 2 WinnerBetclic Apogee Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.