Tennis · resolved market
San Marino: Federico Coria vs Francesco Forti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe35f3f73caf6ce764d3e84cb7e476fec7ca213d7ac67b93cc37b5db93b3ce650
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesco Fortiof Federico Coria, Francesco Forti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Federico Coria | 2c | 14,936$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.57 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Federico Coria | 18c | 5,772$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.48 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Federico Coria | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.93 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Francesco Forti | 56c | 2,222$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.82 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Federico Coria | 38c | 2,160$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.35 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Francesco Forti | 67c | 1,784$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.99 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Francesco Forti | 62c | 1,452$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.61 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Federico Coria | 19c | 1,028$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Francesco Forti | 58c | 1,008$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.48 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Federico Coria | 40c | 887.11$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.95 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a1…1c2ebacked Federico Coria | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…e3aebacked Francesco Forti | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Francesco Forti | 56c | 454.55$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Federico Coria | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Francesco Forti | 70c | 347.51$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Francesco Forti | 55c | 293.1$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Francesco Forti | 71c | 283$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Francesco Forti | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Federico Coria | 46c | 272.81$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.49 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Francesco Forti | 63c | 258$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Federico Coria | 42c | 192.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Francesco Forti | 61c | 160.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Federico Coria | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Federico Coria | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Federico Coria | 33c | 126.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Francesco Forti | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Federico Coria | 15c | 94.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francesco Forti | 77c | 90.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Federico Coria | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Federico Coria | 44c | 79.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Francesco Forti | 55c | 73.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Federico Coria | 35c | 71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…16c7backed Federico Coria | 48c | 68.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Federico Coria | 43c | 64.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Federico Coria | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Federico Coria | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Francesco Forti | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…4968backed Francesco Forti | 58c | 44.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Federico Coria | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Federico Coria | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Federico Coria | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Francesco Forti | 68c | 33.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Francesco Forti | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Francesco Forti | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678a…05ffbacked Francesco Forti | 55c | 27.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Federico Coria | 44c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked Francesco Forti | 57c | 26.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Francesco Forti | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Federico Coria | 43c | 24.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Francesco Forti | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…6857backed Francesco Forti | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Francesco Forti | 68c | 17.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Francesco Forti | 77c | 15.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Marino: Federico Coria vs Francesco Fortithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Coria vs FortiForti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.