CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs HOTU Academy (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe36eae3bd80edfff61e18f546a4d8e5b9706b8cce66032b30ea1adcec9181237
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, HOTU Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked HOTU Academy | 15c | 742.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked HOTU Academy | 23c | 684.42$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.64 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed HOTU Academy | 11c | 390.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed HOTU Academy | 18c | 309.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked HOTU Academy | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed ex-RUBY | 80c | 247.26$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed ex-RUBY | 69c | 240.38$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…0d6fbacked HOTU Academy | 14c | 218$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked HOTU Academy | 25c | 199.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 194.76$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 78c | 182.45$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed HOTU Academy | 22c | 162.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed HOTU Academy | 12c | 149.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HOTU Academy | 8c | 122.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed ex-RUBY | 79c | 112.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…18ffbacked ex-RUBY | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed HOTU Academy | 17c | 99.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…211bbacked ex-RUBY | 73c | 96.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…f7b5backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 90.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked HOTU Academy | 20c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 48.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed HOTU Academy | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…dcd0backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 27.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked ex-RUBY | 79c | 24.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs HOTU Academy (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs HOTU Academy - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs HOTU Academy - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.