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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Old Dominion Monarchsof Old Dominion Monarchs, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,519 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x80cf…427dbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6205152.9%27 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers9c790.85$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5457335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers35c739.05$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.4842327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Old Dominion Monarchs56c647$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.681,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Old Dominion Monarchs38c636$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.322,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers43c545$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.032,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Old Dominion Monarchs35c440.21$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.1412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers11c417.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.361,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Old Dominion Monarchs78c416.47$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.992,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Old Dominion Monarchs38c344.23$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.421,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Old Dominion Monarchs59c311.85$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.322,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Old Dominion Monarchs68c283.63$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Old Dominion Monarchs48c172.08$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0812642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Old Dominion Monarchs77c152.89$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.224,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers58c103$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.745549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers61c95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.958252.4%43 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers61c90$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.95265.4%34 W · 18 L+7.2wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers61c59$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.997648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Old Dominion Monarchs45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.512840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked Old Dominion Monarchs39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.53050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Old Dominion Monarchs77c37.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a80…cbf7backed Old Dominion Monarchs39c34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.741764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x382c…2261backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers64c33.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.213470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Old Dominion Monarchs50c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1372248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Old Dominion Monarchs37c30.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.553,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.29821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed Old Dominion Monarchs39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf2…6640backed Old Dominion Monarchs39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.32638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Old Dominion Monarchs39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.32653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers65c29.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.354,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52cc…9998backed Old Dominion Monarchs42c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.083063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed Old Dominion Monarchs42c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.924355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Old Dominion Monarchs66c22.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.671,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Old Dominion Monarchs67c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x114c…53f4backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers64c18.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers60c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85147.1%24 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.