Other European Leagues · resolved market
PEC Zwolle vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3740e1296fec7c04534659ebdac70423d434cd6fb8725f66d29198f408d417a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 1,326$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 508$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 336$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 58c | 217.33$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 21c | 137$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Under | 23c | 101.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 39c | 70.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 21c | 56.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 79c | 56.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 77c | 52.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 78c | 38.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 57c | 35.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 33.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 57c | 27.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Over | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 59c | 25.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Over | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Over | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 63cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PEC Zwolle vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 1.5this page
- PEC Zwolle vs. Telstar 1963: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PEC Zwolle vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5Over won
- PEC Zwolle vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5Over won
- PEC Zwolle vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.