CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs TDK (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3bd73baef3a0d19ab35426542c2240981066bb683f3c1c4381cfe0e90bd98f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof Sangal, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Sangal | 26c | 860.09$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.35 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…8459backed TDK | 75c | 584$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Sangal | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed TDK | 79c | 254.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sangal | 29c | 227$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed TDK | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TDK | 65c | 198.55$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed TDK | 58c | 183.26$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed TDK | 72c | 166$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed TDK | 72c | 153$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Sangal | 35c | 151.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed TDK | 69c | 135$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Sangal | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sangal | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked TDK | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…7983backed Sangal | 35c | 95.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed TDK | 72c | 64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Sangal | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Sangal | 36c | 49.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Sangal | 42c | 47.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Sangal | 37c | 40.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed TDK | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked TDK | 72c | 37.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TDK | 63c | 34.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed TDK | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs TDK (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs TDK - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.