Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIR vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe41d1484e928597b6a868a67c25047a3967e5f1a6dde998f7c5c243556bf8093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof MIR, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MIR | 7c | 1,050$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIR | 32c | 1,040$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.72 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Misa Esports | 68c | 891.3$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.45 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed MIR | 12c | 300.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Misa Esports | 62c | 182.48$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed MIR | 13c | 175$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Misa Esports | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Misa Esports | 62c | 149.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MIR | 13c | 147.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed MIR | 10c | 132$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports | 58c | 114.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked MIR | 42c | 109.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed MIR | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Misa Esports | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MIR | 29c | 92.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MIR | 29c | 88.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MIR | 52c | 81.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed MIR | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed MIR | 27c | 48.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 74c | 48.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed MIR | 48c | 44.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Misa Esports | 67c | 44.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked MIR | 35c | 40.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked MIR | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Misa Esports | 52c | 35.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed MIR | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Misa Esports | 68c | 34.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MIR | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Misa Esports | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 14.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Misa Esports | 71c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MIR vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs MIR (+1.5)Misa Esports won
- Valorant: MIR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- Valorant: MIR vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.