Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: MIR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x525bfda2167f469bf35adbef96d753dbc1ac9ac89998b94111881cb88467334d

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Misa Esportsof MIR, Misa Esports
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $27,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,056 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Misa Esports	77c	3,353$2,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$766.51	409	45.7%187 W · 222 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed MIR	16c	2,772$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.88	237	32.9%78 W · 159 L	-20.7wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Misa Esports	72c	1,912$1,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.18	565	51.2%289 W · 276 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked MIR	18c	1,036$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.53	783	44.1%345 W · 438 L	-21.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed MIR	16c	999.96$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.33	324	45.4%147 W · 177 L	+51.8wins	+0.16per pick	29cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MIR	42c	771.49$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.07	1,422	51.3%729 W · 693 L	+49.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed MIR	13c	731.47$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.01	467	46.7%218 W · 249 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2944…cf36backed MIR	33c	699.47$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.3	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed MIR	10c	556.4$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.64	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked MIR	41c	499.99$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	867	47.5%412 W · 455 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked MIR	3c	497$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	289	42.9%124 W · 165 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIR	29c	476.05$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.23	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Misa Esports	61c	420.38$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.95	936	49.3%461 W · 475 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Misa Esports	60c	415.76$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.98	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Misa Esports	55c	363.4$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.4	186	47.8%89 W · 97 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Misa Esports	69c	325.43$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.78	604	54%326 W · 278 L	+22.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked MIR	38c	297.75$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.54	351	42.5%149 W · 202 L	-14.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports	70c	284.12$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.15	851	38.1%324 W · 527 L	-51.4wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports	74c	258.75$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.02	1,253	49.5%620 W · 633 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Misa Esports	63c	249.78$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.12	242	50.4%122 W · 120 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MIR	40c	244.15$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.69	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MIR	38c	221.55$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.89	1,495	46.6%696 W · 799 L	-17.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked MIR	33c	210.01$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.3	544	39.9%217 W · 327 L	+12.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed MIR	40c	208.93$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.38	237	45.1%107 W · 130 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed MIR	41c	207.08$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.57	751	42.7%321 W · 430 L	-27.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked MIR	34c	201.84$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.94	575	50.6%291 W · 284 L	+14.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Misa Esports	62c	199.46$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.94	176	54.5%96 W · 80 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Misa Esports	73c	191.39$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.52	301	47.2%142 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MIR	43c	161.11$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.83	796	50%398 W · 398 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MIR	21c	158$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.91	818	34.8%285 W · 533 L	-61.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24dc…25abbacked Misa Esports	59c	154.49$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.49	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed Misa Esports	66c	151.92$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.05	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	64cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed MIR	36c	149.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Misa Esports	65c	149.07$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.67	159	73%116 W · 43 L	+10.8wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked MIR	44c	147.1$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.24	109	45.9%50 W · 59 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed MIR	38c	136$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.85	338	38.5%130 W · 208 L	-21.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed MIR	42c	124.3$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.21	160	31.3%50 W · 110 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Misa Esports	64c	119.03$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.85	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Misa Esports	65c	118.98$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.42	208	55.8%116 W · 92 L	+9.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked MIR	40c	116.17$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.05	705	43.5%307 W · 398 L	-14.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed MIR	34c	112$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.08	87	41.4%36 W · 51 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked MIR	39c	103$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Misa Esports	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.3	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed MIR	42c	87.8$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.17	434	59.2%257 W · 177 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Misa Esports	63c	80.61$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.48	913	33.2%303 W · 610 L	-89.8wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked MIR	31c	80$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.76	211	36.5%77 W · 134 L	-15.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed MIR	36c	79$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.44	191	40.3%77 W · 114 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked MIR	40c	78.82$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.36	158	42.4%67 W · 91 L	-10.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked MIR	38c	76.59$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.85	553	48.3%267 W · 286 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Misa Esports	57c	72$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.96	201	38.3%77 W · 124 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Misa Esports	65c	64.43$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.43	134	56.7%76 W · 58 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports	64c	62.06$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.38	1,607	37.5%603 W · 1,004 L	-75.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed MIR	36c	60$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	697	22.8%159 W · 538 L	-94.4wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x98ec…5948backed Misa Esports	54c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea9…9248backed Misa Esports	51c	58.36$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.36	111	59.5%66 W · 45 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Misa Esports	60c	55.05$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.05	205	53.2%109 W · 96 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed MIR	38c	50.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.62	55	20%11 W · 44 L	-11.5wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-57%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked MIR	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.1	520	50%260 W · 260 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed MIR	43c	48.43$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.82	160	41.9%67 W · 93 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Misa Esports	63c	46.03$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.03	144	52.1%75 W · 69 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed MIR	40c	44.62$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4427…d7a8backed Misa Esports	75c	43.21$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.01	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	73cpaid	+11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Misa Esports	60c	42.15$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.07	779	29.5%230 W · 549 L	-72.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed MIR	32c	41.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.03	269	32.3%87 W · 182 L	-25.7wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked MIR	45c	39.41$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.54	206	39.8%82 W · 124 L	-17.8wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc38…d93fbacked Misa Esports	63c	39.18$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.32	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x288d…00eabacked MIR	39c	38.46$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked MIR	36c	38.04$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.69	176	53.4%94 W · 82 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed MIR	35c	38$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.48	999	45.9%459 W · 540 L	-27.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Misa Esports	64c	37.66$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.56	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked MIR	40c	37.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	130	43.8%57 W · 73 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked MIR	39c	35.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	308	35.4%109 W · 199 L	-23.8wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Misa Esports	64c	35.96$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.95	114	50%57 W · 57 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed MIR	47c	35.74$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed MIR	33c	34.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.41	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed MIR	46c	32.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	216	41.7%90 W · 126 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed MIR	42c	32.34$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.56	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Misa Esports	74c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.7	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc987…123abacked MIR	37c	29.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.87	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc5b…2a5abacked Misa Esports	63c	29.38$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.87	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-46%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Misa Esports	72c	29$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.12	64	56.3%36 W · 28 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed MIR	39c	26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-4.1wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-44%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Misa Esports	61c	25.89$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.1	189	40.7%77 W · 112 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed MIR	43c	24.62$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4927…deaebacked Misa Esports	56c	20.71$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.11	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.25per pick	55cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: MIR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs MIR (+1.5)Misa Esports won
Valorant: MIR vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
Valorant: MIR vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: MIR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event