Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIR vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc95f2dd6d88c8b306ba4cfb0ec13bee3b5eae57ad044b84c9dc42a53deec0777
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof MIR, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Misa Esports | 55c | 1,120$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.38 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MIR | 37c | 1,019$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.08 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIR | 42c | 1,017$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.55 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 54c | 736.31$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.02 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Misa Esports | 59c | 723.37$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.5 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Misa Esports | 55c | 593.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.29 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked MIR | 38c | 561$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.48 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed MIR | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked MIR | 25c | 470$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Misa Esports | 53c | 435$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…22febacked MIR | 72c | 317.01$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Misa Esports | 57c | 280.55$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.75 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MIR | 42c | 266.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.96 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports | 39c | 245.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.87 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Misa Esports | 78c | 218.15$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MIR | 45c | 207.49$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Misa Esports | 56c | 201.75$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…934ebacked Misa Esports | 51c | 165$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Misa Esports | 69c | 136.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MIR | 40c | 129.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MIR | 38c | 128.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Misa Esports | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Misa Esports | 52c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MIR | 49c | 106.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…903abacked Misa Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Misa Esports | 55c | 98.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Misa Esports | 57c | 93.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Misa Esports | 49c | 89.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked MIR | 21c | 85.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed MIR | 40c | 64.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Misa Esports | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…b585backed MIR | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Misa Esports | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked MIR | 28c | 51.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports | 58c | 50.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Misa Esports | 36c | 50.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed MIR | 49c | 48.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Misa Esports | 51c | 46.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed MIR | 38c | 46.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Misa Esports | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…4f6ebacked MIR | 59c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Misa Esports | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Misa Esports | 66c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed MIR | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked MIR | 40c | 29.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Misa Esports | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 27.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MIR | 42c | 25.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked MIR | 48c | 23.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Misa Esports | 55c | 22.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked Misa Esports | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MIR vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs MIR (+1.5)Misa Esports won
- Valorant: MIR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- Valorant: MIR vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.