Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Carles Cordoba vs Sergi Fita Juan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe435f765a83a39e08101a2324ad484b51184fade49eaefaf1ee3a52415e9288f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carles Cordobaof Carles Cordoba, Sergi Fita Juan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e3…aaf2backed Carles Cordoba | 52c | 4,937$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sergi Fita Juan | 47c | 3,583$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.64 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sergi Fita Juan | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sergi Fita Juan | 30c | 413.18$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 51c | 367.01$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.38 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Carles Cordoba | 49c | 356.64$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.89 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 44c | 321.01$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.04 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 14c | 266.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 792 | 49.1%389 W · 403 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Carles Cordoba | 58c | 223.2$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…67f1backed Sergi Fita Juan | 7c | 210$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 7cpaid | +532.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Carles Cordoba | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 300 | 42.3%127 W · 173 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 45c | 186.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sergi Fita Juan | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Carles Cordoba | 50c | 92.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Sergi Fita Juan | 47c | 27.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 304 | 43.4%132 W · 172 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…b1c7backed Sergi Fita Juan | 40c | 26.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5702…1e74backed Carles Cordoba | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Carles Cordoba vs Sergi Fita Juanthis page
- Carles Cordoba vs. Sergi Fita Juan: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.