Tennis · resolved market
Piracicaba: Nick Hardt vs Wilson Leite
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4aad31b562965abc5ef348c9864c1f3388862b9ee47b2f6a11e2105b6276804
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nick Hardtof Nick Hardt, Wilson Leite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Wilson Leite | 25c | 59,120$14,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,971.31 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Wilson Leite | 18c | 53,025$9,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,557.84 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nick Hardt | 77c | 46,464$35,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,571.65 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nick Hardt | 79c | 35,739$28,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,469.22 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Wilson Leite | 22c | 9,331$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.45 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Nick Hardt | 78c | 6,151$4,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.27 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nick Hardt | 79c | 4,077$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.18 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Wilson Leite | 25c | 2,215$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.46 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wilson Leite | 4c | 2,000$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Wilson Leite | 6c | 1,135$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Wilson Leite | 13c | 1,011$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Wilson Leite | 16c | 908.66$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.39 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wilson Leite | 20c | 874.77$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.42 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Wilson Leite | 15c | 827.27$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.09 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Wilson Leite | 15c | 799.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Wilson Leite | 17c | 666.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Wilson Leite | 15c | 334.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Wilson Leite | 11c | 260.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Wilson Leite | 14c | 167.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Nick Hardt | 78c | 133.88$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Wilson Leite | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Wilson Leite | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Wilson Leite | 15c | 86.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Wilson Leite | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Wilson Leite | 26c | 69.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Nick Hardt | 78c | 55.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 356 | 49.4%176 W · 180 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…8546backed Nick Hardt | 75c | 26.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…a6a3backed Nick Hardt | 77c | 16.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Nick Hardt | 78c | 13.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.