Lol · resolved market
LoL: French Flair vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4c8652c91f6bbb19865104656d1856941c37867a659d06fa66b07112685b73f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- French Flairof French Flair, Skillcamp Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a3f…a807backed Skillcamp Esport | 3c | 12,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed French Flair | 78c | 4,694$3,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.16 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Skillcamp Esport | 24c | 3,263$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.64 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Skillcamp Esport | 21c | 1,319$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.9 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Skillcamp Esport | 19c | 1,301$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.85 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed French Flair | 79c | 1,275$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.08 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Skillcamp Esport | 14c | 1,043$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Skillcamp Esport | 14c | 338$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Skillcamp Esport | 14c | 308$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 509 | 45.8%233 W · 276 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed French Flair | 73c | 272.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Skillcamp Esport | 26c | 271.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ce…9967backed Skillcamp Esport | 32c | 254.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Skillcamp Esport | 22c | 240$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Skillcamp Esport | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Skillcamp Esport | 21c | 220$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Skillcamp Esport | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…fc18backed French Flair | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed French Flair | 68c | 163.61$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Skillcamp Esport | 23c | 154.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked French Flair | 70c | 152.45$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked French Flair | 70c | 140.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | -20.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked French Flair | 80c | 137.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Skillcamp Esport | 27c | 117.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Skillcamp Esport | 19c | 112$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Skillcamp Esport | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c5…9977backed Skillcamp Esport | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Skillcamp Esport | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…d56dbacked French Flair | 74c | 74.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Skillcamp Esport | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 813 | 33%268 W · 545 L | -43.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Skillcamp Esport | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Skillcamp Esport | 27c | 53.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Skillcamp Esport | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,675 | 59.3%993 W · 682 L | +96.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed French Flair | 65c | 48.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed French Flair | 77c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 284 | 58.5%166 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: French Flair vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FF (-1.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+1.5)French Flair won
- Game Handicap: FF (-2.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+2.5)French Flair won
- LoL: French Flair vs Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - LFL Invitational PlayoffsFrench Flair won
- LoL: French Flair vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 WinnerFrench Flair won
- LoL: French Flair vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 3 WinnerFrench Flair won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.