CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs aimclub (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4ec8fe511666940ab7a4e771d1a2c595678ecab176b4c2aa8cf7b0575108eac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, aimclub
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed aimclub | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed aimclub | 16c | 1,100$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed aimclub | 20c | 993.75$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…39b8backed aimclub | 15c | 790.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed aimclub | 34c | 713.82$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.05 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked aimclub | 28c | 600.02$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.21 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…1cc2backed aimclub | 38c | 521.67$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.18 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Eternal Fire | 72c | 411.87$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Eternal Fire | 68c | 409.1$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 66c | 365.91$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…79ddbacked Eternal Fire | 68c | 361.58$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.81 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eternal Fire | 80c | 297.12$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked aimclub | 31c | 269.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…d3b8backed aimclub | 38c | 261.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 247.84$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Eternal Fire | 80c | 247.6$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…cf08backed aimclub | 14c | 212.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked aimclub | 35c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Eternal Fire | 68c | 114$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…2c49backed aimclub | 29c | 111.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Eternal Fire | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 65.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Eternal Fire | 77c | 61.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked aimclub | 23c | 61.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9570…55a7backed aimclub | 37c | 53.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Eternal Fire | 80c | 49.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 37.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 76c | 36.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed aimclub | 35c | 33.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…517cbacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 30.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…8037backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs aimclub (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs aimclub - Map 2 Winneraimclub won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.