Euroleague · resolved market
CB Breogan Lugo vs. Manresa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe50fd3d28b9d403a0ef1cb5bf4f5485f7741f153378a46659fbae3270758536a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CB Breogan Lugoof CB Breogan Lugo, Manresa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Manresa | 52c | 802.66$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.75 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed CB Breogan Lugo | 50c | 749.98$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.99 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…b3c4backed Manresa | 44c | 453.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 40c | 375.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.61 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Manresa | 55c | 275.04$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked CB Breogan Lugo | 54c | 203.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed CB Breogan Lugo | 64c | 189$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Manresa | 36c | 184.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed CB Breogan Lugo | 60c | 166.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Manresa | 55c | 135.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed CB Breogan Lugo | 45c | 121.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked CB Breogan Lugo | 40c | 104.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed CB Breogan Lugo | 47c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Manresa | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +310.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked CB Breogan Lugo | 61c | 91.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CB Breogan Lugo | 38c | 69.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CB Breogan Lugo | 49c | 55.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Manresa | 50c | 52.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…c31fbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 62c | 48.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Manresa | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Manresa | 33c | 46.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed CB Breogan Lugo | 63c | 43.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed CB Breogan Lugo | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed CB Breogan Lugo | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Manresa | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Manresa | 44c | 28.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed CB Breogan Lugo | 60c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.