Premier League · resolved market
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe511c1c25157bd45069d8106fd850ce1add5592f3f0898259d24b0fdc565df2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 5,584$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.47 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 41c | 5,079$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.01 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 46c | 718$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.86 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 686.38$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.69 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 580.17$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.91 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked No | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 54c | 496.61$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.78 | 412 | 43.4%179 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 34c | 363.84$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 343.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.36 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 30c | 251$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 214.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 50c | 205$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 49c | 204.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.17 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 54c | 176$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 200 | 41%82 W · 118 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 48c | 174$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 55c | 149.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 61c | 120.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 62c | 111.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 98.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 59c | 97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…236dbacked No | 46c | 97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 12c | 95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 48c | 85.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 41c | 81.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 50c | 79.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 62c | 54.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 273 | 56.4%154 W · 119 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 45.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 38c | 43.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 70c | 39.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 64c | 31.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 63c | 30.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 26.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 61c | 23.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 63c | 22.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.