Tennis · resolved market
Troyes: Marko Topo vs Leo Raquillet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe52aa365d542db780e42b2e415c05395407829fb8b6c39c0b72994e36653c4e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marko Topoof Marko Topo, Leo Raquillet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Leo Raquillet | 13c | 1,903$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.16 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Leo Raquillet | 3c | 632.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Leo Raquillet | 13c | 624.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da0…6b21backed Leo Raquillet | 8c | 622.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Leo Raquillet | 29c | 599.97$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.78 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Leo Raquillet | 27c | 589.72$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Leo Raquillet | 15c | 560.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Leo Raquillet | 8c | 468.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Leo Raquillet | 31c | 446.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Leo Raquillet | 15c | 330.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Leo Raquillet | 32c | 318$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Leo Raquillet | 14c | 250$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Leo Raquillet | 26c | 247.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Leo Raquillet | 47c | 222.9$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Leo Raquillet | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Leo Raquillet | 21c | 175.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Marko Topo | 65c | 169.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Marko Topo | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Leo Raquillet | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Leo Raquillet | 22c | 119.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leo Raquillet | 16c | 109.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Marko Topo | 46c | 108.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Leo Raquillet | 32c | 103.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Leo Raquillet | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Marko Topo | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Leo Raquillet | 35c | 98.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Leo Raquillet | 33c | 89.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Leo Raquillet | 18c | 88.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…6c1abacked Marko Topo | 78c | 78.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Marko Topo | 69c | 78.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Marko Topo | 76c | 78.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Leo Raquillet | 17c | 76.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Marko Topo | 64c | 74.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Marko Topo | 69c | 71.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Leo Raquillet | 24c | 68.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Leo Raquillet | 30c | 65.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Marko Topo | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Marko Topo | 69c | 64.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Marko Topo | 69c | 57.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Leo Raquillet | 27c | 53.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Leo Raquillet | 23c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Leo Raquillet | 34c | 50.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marko Topo | 75c | 44.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Leo Raquillet | 30c | 39.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Marko Topo | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Marko Topo | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Marko Topo | 75c | 35.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Marko Topo | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Marko Topo | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Marko Topo | 76c | 23.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Marko Topo | 71c | 20.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Marko Topo | 70c | 19.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Marko Topo | 77c | 19.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -26.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Marko Topo | 74c | 15.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Marko Topo | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Marko Topo | 74c | 13.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Troyes: Marko Topo vs Leo Raquilletthis page
- Set Handicap: Topo (-1.5) vs Raquillet (+1.5)Raquillet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.