Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Boise State Broncos vs. San Jose State Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5c9e59781252621ca2116336d14c93bce82741765e2cf906cc48ef669d94ba7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boise State Broncosof Boise State Broncos, San Jose State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 1,543$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.59 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 11c | 1,065$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.58 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 1,046$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.44 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 514.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 457$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed San Jose State Spartans | 9c | 399.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 279.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 245.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Jose State Spartans | 10c | 177.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 134.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 113.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 113$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked San Jose State Spartans | 17c | 99.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 92.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boise State Broncos vs. San Jose State Spartansthis page
- Boise State Broncos vs. San Jose State Spartans: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Boise State Broncos (-11.5)Boise State Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.