Tennis · resolved market
ITF Columbus: Sara Daavettila vs Jia-Jing Lu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5e21e76626251dcfc9df07ebc6dccd85969e3fc8f8dc12a1a40d740c49e0bbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sara Daavettilaof Sara Daavettila, Jia-Jing Lu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sara Daavettila | 28c | 6,211$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,476.73 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jia-Jing Lu | 72c | 5,411$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.06 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Jia-Jing Lu | 72c | 1,714$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.28 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…3c88backed Sara Daavettila | 70c | 929.61$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.61 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jia-Jing Lu | 65c | 685.64$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.74 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sara Daavettila | 34c | 559.16$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.35 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sara Daavettila | 37c | 499.96$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.97 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Jia-Jing Lu | 44c | 246.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Jia-Jing Lu | 77c | 202.1$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Jia-Jing Lu | 44c | 197.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Sara Daavettila | 38c | 176.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.79 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Sara Daavettila | 56c | 175$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Sara Daavettila | 35c | 153.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Jia-Jing Lu | 66c | 110$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Jia-Jing Lu | 42c | 107.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Sara Daavettila | 53c | 101.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sara Daavettila | 53c | 101.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Sara Daavettila | 39c | 100.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Jia-Jing Lu | 61c | 100.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sara Daavettila | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Jia-Jing Lu | 66c | 98.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sara Daavettila | 27c | 90.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Sara Daavettila | 61c | 81.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Jia-Jing Lu | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jia-Jing Lu | 66c | 72.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Jia-Jing Lu | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Jia-Jing Lu | 63c | 60.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Sara Daavettila | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sara Daavettila | 75c | 58.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jia-Jing Lu | 64c | 57.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Sara Daavettila | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Sara Daavettila | 38c | 50.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sara Daavettila | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Jia-Jing Lu | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Jia-Jing Lu | 63c | 28.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sara Daavettila | 52c | 27.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Jia-Jing Lu | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Jia-Jing Lu | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.