Champions League · resolved market
Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5e633a2d07ee1cf01a48330fc8c26a551c4853a68cee0481513ee39cdd6e7d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 5,097$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.78 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 72c | 2,800$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.05 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…597abacked Yes | 16c | 2,678$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 60c | 2,118$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.44 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,033$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.68 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 34c | 1,037$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.39 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…149abacked Yes | 41c | 320.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 16c | 286.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 15c | 233.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 43c | 222.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 29c | 209.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Yes | 80c | 183$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…2799backed Yes | 56c | 178.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 161.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.16 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 15c | 143.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked No | 71c | 137.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 15c | 137.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 15c | 134.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 68c | 127.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 15c | 111.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 15c | 107.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 15c | 99.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 15c | 95.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 36c | 87.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 15c | 81.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 43c | 73.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Yes | 66c | 60.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed No | 71c | 51.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 38c | 51.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f6…6ccabacked Yes | 66c | 45.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 29c | 39.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 74c | 33.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Yes | 41c | 32.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Yes | 43c | 32.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 42c | 27.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 69c | 26.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 64c | 23.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…bd31backed No | 78c | 15.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk end in a draw?this page
- Will FK ML Viciebsk win on 2026-07-15?No won
- Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.