CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe60c9c6f6ec99199f5d015f1942acbf1afee7764ac923221f4b17ff813c9245d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof paiN, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Spirit | 80c | 628.53$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.92 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN | 31c | 547$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.78 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed paiN | 23c | 499.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…4893backed paiN | 24c | 415.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked paiN | 23c | 404.29$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Spirit | 77c | 378.31$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 72c | 271$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Spirit | 71c | 195.83$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed Spirit | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…3ed5backed Spirit | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…2475backed paiN | 30c | 124.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Spirit | 76c | 114.21$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Spirit | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed paiN | 18c | 98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked paiN | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Spirit | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…14efbacked Spirit | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…0cb9backed Spirit | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Spirit | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Spirit | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…bbfabacked Spirit | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…b205backed Spirit | 71c | 23.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Spirit | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…ba98backed Spirit | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Spirit | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Spirit (BO3)Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.