NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Dallas Mavericks vs. LA Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe63ef5d430a1e7727f88025c1b9f751f6c7ee14b4e6d407c978eddb62d7a4fa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LA Lakersof Dallas Mavericks, LA Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Dallas Mavericks | 0c | 4,988$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Dallas Mavericks | 57c | 2,194$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.54 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed LA Lakers | 43c | 1,940$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.81 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Dallas Mavericks | 1c | 1,703$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LA Lakers | 55c | 1,600$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.69 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…b125backed Dallas Mavericks | 3c | 1,538$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Dallas Mavericks | 56c | 1,503$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…e172backed Dallas Mavericks | 37c | 1,269$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LA Lakers | 53c | 1,210$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.5 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Dallas Mavericks | 57c | 1,096$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.69 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked LA Lakers | 47c | 999.94$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.97 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked LA Lakers | 53c | 667.13$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.75 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Dallas Mavericks | 52c | 534$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.97 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Dallas Mavericks | 56c | 532.43$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.22 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Mavericks | 54c | 503.22$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…ac8cbacked LA Lakers | 44c | 443.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed LA Lakers | 38c | 399.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LA Lakers | 57c | 362.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.46 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Dallas Mavericks | 15c | 360.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Dallas Mavericks | 37c | 341$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.47 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked LA Lakers | 46c | 331.68$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.88 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Dallas Mavericks | 31c | 323.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a6…cf4bbacked LA Lakers | 44c | 318.02$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked LA Lakers | 73c | 278$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed LA Lakers | 46c | 219.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.32 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked LA Lakers | 46c | 213.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Dallas Mavericks | 48c | 207.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked LA Lakers | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed LA Lakers | 57c | 174.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 47cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked LA Lakers | 42c | 167.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Dallas Mavericks | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Dallas Mavericks | 60c | 166.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked LA Lakers | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Dallas Mavericks | 48c | 145.23$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed LA Lakers | 47c | 137.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked LA Lakers | 49c | 129.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed LA Lakers | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 202 | 37.1%75 W · 127 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Dallas Mavericks | 52c | 108.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Dallas Mavericks | 58c | 100.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 271 | 45.4%123 W · 148 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed LA Lakers | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dallas Mavericks | 53c | 81.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed LA Lakers | 48c | 80.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27bd…5452backed Dallas Mavericks | 54c | 66.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Dallas Mavericks | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…4781backed Dallas Mavericks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed LA Lakers | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…e36dbacked Dallas Mavericks | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed LA Lakers | 58c | 45.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked LA Lakers | 49c | 40.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Dallas Mavericks | 42c | 40.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed Dallas Mavericks | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Dallas Mavericks | 54c | 36.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed LA Lakers | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Dallas Mavericks | 53c | 31.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed LA Lakers | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked LA Lakers | 47c | 25.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked LA Lakers | 48c | 24.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed LA Lakers | 62c | 23.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…68f9backed LA Lakers | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.