Tennis · resolved market
ITF Knokke-Heist: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Loes Ebeling Koning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe657003947e692dbbbe8f49c1a2a60fc1abdaeef1634fb36b06ad3b3accc1e15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Loes Ebeling Koningof Lucie Nguyen Tan, Loes Ebeling Koning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Lucie Nguyen Tan | 20c | 2,500$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Loes Ebeling Koning | 79c | 1,240$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.61 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 58c | 858.49$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.81 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 57c | 336$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Loes Ebeling Koning | 56c | 101.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Loes Ebeling Koning | 74c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Loes Ebeling Koning | 64c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Lucie Nguyen Tan | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -17.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Lucie Nguyen Tan | 45c | 25.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d68…926ebacked Loes Ebeling Koning | 74c | 23.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.