CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheBoys vs maybe - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6646e6c3a01017fae945f174177fae51f7c1cfe162b147d1b4ff6616c1f1aa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheBoysof TheBoys, maybe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x637b…948bbacked TheBoys | 54c | 2,052$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.64 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed maybe | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked maybe | 52c | 1,660$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.65 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed maybe | 43c | 558.76$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…c799backed maybe | 43c | 479.88$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.82 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed TheBoys | 71c | 363.31$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked TheBoys | 49c | 328.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.96 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed TheBoys | 44c | 309.18$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.24 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed maybe | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed maybe | 48c | 250$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TheBoys | 52c | 227$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.02 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed TheBoys | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TheBoys | 58c | 202.63$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed maybe | 66c | 171$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked TheBoys | 59c | 167$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked TheBoys | 41c | 155$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked maybe | 26c | 153.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed maybe | 63c | 109$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed TheBoys | 63c | 88.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed maybe | 49c | 86.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TheBoys | 50c | 84.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked maybe | 61c | 83.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked maybe | 62c | 73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked TheBoys | 71c | 69.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked maybe | 62c | 58.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c30…b877backed maybe | 55c | 54.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…1753backed maybe | 64c | 46.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked TheBoys | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed TheBoys | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked TheBoys | 53c | 36.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked maybe | 57c | 35.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked TheBoys | 41c | 32.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheBoys vs maybe - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheBoys vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 PlayoffsTheBoys won
- Counter-Strike: TheBoys vs maybe - Map 1 WinnerTheBoys won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.