CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheBoys vs maybe - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5531c2b3af32acd6bd76e4ab2dd97e1c9beaf5ddbd7d3a00a6a835e4013d456
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheBoysof TheBoys, maybe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdced…c799backed TheBoys | 73c | 7,213$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.66 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed maybe | 15c | 4,107$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.91 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed maybe | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed maybe | 55c | 1,300$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed TheBoys | 80c | 1,229$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.46 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked maybe | 17c | 1,132$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.88 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed maybe | 18c | 670$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.61 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed maybe | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked maybe | 27c | 337.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked maybe | 41c | 251.47$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed maybe | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked maybe | 8c | 245$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed maybe | 39c | 241.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked maybe | 47c | 228.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed maybe | 35c | 207.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked maybe | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed TheBoys | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TheBoys | 62c | 199.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked maybe | 42c | 198$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TheBoys | 72c | 172.11$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked maybe | 39c | 171$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed maybe | 46c | 169.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed TheBoys | 50c | 163.05$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TheBoys | 52c | 151$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked maybe | 38c | 146$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked maybe | 48c | 136.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked maybe | 35c | 133.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed maybe | 38c | 120.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed maybe | 52c | 112$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed maybe | 49c | 108.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked maybe | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed maybe | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…5a30backed maybe | 39c | 99.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed maybe | 23c | 91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8dbebacked TheBoys | 57c | 87.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked maybe | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed maybe | 28c | 75.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed TheBoys | 74c | 58.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked maybe | 48c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed maybe | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed maybe | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked maybe | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked TheBoys | 53c | 31.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed TheBoys | 52c | 21.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | +18.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked TheBoys | 72c | 14.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheBoys vs maybe - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheBoys vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 PlayoffsTheBoys won
- Counter-Strike: TheBoys vs maybe - Map 2 WinnerTheBoys won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.