Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6726321c4cc8b5c1d83cb71923f29f063ad45c07dc4a51ac881836d797ec231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 1,180$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Under | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Under | 41c | 999.95$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.98 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 2c | 969.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 907.33$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.09 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 41c | 863.41$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 77c | 517.78$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 33c | 512.64$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.47 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 41c | 499.97$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Under | 32c | 498$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Under | 9c | 443.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 59c | 391.23$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.46 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 211.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…5083backed Over | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 59c | 185.37$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 67c | 133.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 41c | 95.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 94.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 40c | 87.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 59c | 84.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 82.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 55.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 59c | 54.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 59c | 54.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 59c | 54.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 59c | 54.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 59c | 54.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 59c | 54.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 59c | 54.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 59c | 54.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 59c | 54.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 59c | 35.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 41c | 33.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b40…2c58backed Under | 42c | 31.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…c173backed Over | 59c | 30.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Over | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…84f4backed Over | 59c | 25.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fa…8c3ebacked Under | 42c | 23.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 47c | 23.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 47c | 22.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 60c | 21.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…a0d5backed Over | 57c | 21.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 57c | 20.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd111…5fe8backed Over | 57c | 20.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d2…4a45backed Over | 57c | 20.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd7…3cf4backed Over | 57c | 18.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Sheffield United FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.