Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe67503326cfb56fe5aa7cbe6bb5d571897868a96c782bd1e10110dcd49b5d8c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Team Syntax, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 2,174$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.08 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Syntax | 46c | 1,920$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.2 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Syntax | 46c | 1,541$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.03 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 1,327$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.72 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Syntax | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 609.6$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.8 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Syntax | 50c | 520$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Syntax | 40c | 407.27$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.91 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Syntax | 35c | 311.03$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Team Syntax | 46c | 255.43$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e0…6ec6backed Team Syntax | 28c | 106.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Team Syntax | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Syntax | 34c | 99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Team Syntax | 38c | 78.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Team Syntax | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 76c | 67.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Syntax | 41c | 49.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 43.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Team Syntax | 39c | 32.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Team Syntax | 36c | 29.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Team Syntax | 46c | 25.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Syntax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.