Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d2d1bb185232e7009c864f0a007ab4743ffdd513726dc3d1d63dfe0ec843033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Syntaxof Team Syntax, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Syntax | 60c | 10,000$5,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,037.83 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 2,442$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.78 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 2,368$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.86 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Syntax | 59c | 2,322$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.91 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Team Syntax | 64c | 1,303$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.4 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 888$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.2 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 626.94$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.55 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 590.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 560$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.6 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 546.36$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.74 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…a075backed Team Syntax | 63c | 449.75$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 446.34$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 445.85$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 435.29$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 426.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.54 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 400$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.71 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Team Syntax | 62c | 323.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…e95dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Syntax | 65c | 282.7$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 248.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 222.91$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.41 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a9…fc3fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 7c | 199.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 190$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 188$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Syntax | 65c | 177$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Syntax | 67c | 167.87$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 155$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Syntax | 70c | 145.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Team Syntax | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 126.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Team Syntax | 46c | 124.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 122.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 100.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…6929backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 94.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Team Syntax | 70c | 88.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 73.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e0…6ec6backed Team Syntax | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 65.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…88e5backed Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…afc3backed Team Syntax | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 59.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 48.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Team Syntax | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Team Syntax | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Team Syntax | 64c | 40.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Syntax | 75c | 32.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 30.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Syntax | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 25.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Team Syntax | 70c | 18.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.