Premier League · resolved market
Will another player be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6b5072010365efe4865c58b8ed1d0297d44021a9cfb0959302b5b0fc6d9bf0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7789…f823backed Yes | 2c | 9,153$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.91 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 6c | 5,408$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.53 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…fa21backed Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 19c | 872.17$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.99 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…0045backed Yes | 29c | 771.37$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.27 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…b625backed No | 73c | 748.2$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 4c | 727$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ca…bb25backed Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3df3backed Yes | 8c | 400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…5b68backed No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…a799backed No | 80c | 195.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will another player be the top goalscorer in the EPL?this page
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPLYes won
- Will Jarrod Bowen be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Ollie Watkins be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
- Will Son Heung Min be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.