Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open (Doubles): Herbert/Krawietz vs Bergs/Blockx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe70ca3ba8b300906c8e895bd1f757f5b9fa575b8d1a06c24b59d5d9720688727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Herbert/Krawietzof Herbert/Krawietz, Bergs/Blockx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bergs/Blockx | 17c | 271.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bergs/Blockx | 18c | 203.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Herbert/Krawietz | 77c | 159.86$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bergs/Blockx | 17c | 157$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Bergs/Blockx | 19c | 97.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Herbert/Krawietz | 79c | 58.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…7982backed Bergs/Blockx | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Herbert/Krawietz | 76c | 46.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Herbert/Krawietz | 75c | 42.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…2bedbacked Herbert/Krawietz | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Herbert/Krawietz | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Herbert/Krawietz | 79c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.